Hays County Seasonality: Best Month to List?

Deal of the Week

183 Seabreeze ST, Kyle TX 78640
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $286,000 183 Seabreeze ST, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4348603 Listed at $276,499, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,060 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185761569/183-Seabreeze-ST-Kyle-TX Lower-middle quartile: $286,000 to $375,000 219 Mad Pupper DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1829550 Listed at $299,015, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,876 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188156611/219-Mad-Pupper-DR-Buda-TX Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $555,000 358 Callahan LOOP, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #8242472 Listed at $455,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,790 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517588/358-Callahan-LOOP-Buda-TX Upper quartile: $555,000 and up 2100 Onion Creek BND, Driftwood TX 78619 · MLS #8227183 Listed at $1,099,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,263 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184566597/2100-Onion-Creek-BND-Driftwood-TX

Key figures · Hays County · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What month brings the most buyers to Hays County? A look at 24 months of data reveals a distinct seasonal pattern where activity peaks in spring and fades by late fall. ALEX Intelligence analyzed monthly closed sales from November 2024 through October 2026 to identify the optimal listing window. The data shows that May consistently delivers the highest volume, with 522 homes sold last year compared to just 234 in January. This spring surge is accompanied by higher median prices, which reached $400,000 in April and May before retreating to $360,000 in July and August. October marks a significant slowdown, with sales dropping 19% from September and falling 16.7% compared to the same month last year. The median price held steady at $379,750, but the number of days on market increased by 21.4% from the prior month to 68 days. This suggests that while prices remain resilient in October, buyer urgency diminishes as the year ends. For sellers, the data indicates that listing between March and May captures the highest volume and price points. Conversely, winter months like January and February see reduced activity, with sales volumes often dropping below 300 transactions. Buyers entering the market in late fall may face less competition but should expect longer selling times for their properties. The seasonal decomposition confirms that timing is a critical factor in Hays County real estate performance, with spring remaining the definitive peak season for both volume and price realization. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB
Broker · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456
Broker · Alabama License #000178406
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas.
Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog.
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=264
Cover photo: Blanco River, Hays County ("Hays - Hill Country 1") by CMBJ, CC BY-SA 2.5, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov