Seguin Market Heat Score Analysis

What does a market heat score of 60 look like in Seguin? The data shows a distinct shift from a buyer-favorable environment toward balance, driven by faster sales and stronger prices. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the local activity to gauge market temperature using four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions. Over the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, Seguin recorded 54 closed sales with a median price of $325,000. This represents an 18.7% increase compared to the prior period and the same window last year. Speed is a major factor in this heat score. The median days on market dropped to 60 days, down 41.2% from the previous 102 days. Homes are selling faster, which typically signals higher demand relative to supply. Additionally, the median close-to-original list ratio improved to 94.9%, up 3.2% year-over-year, indicating buyers are paying closer to asking prices. Inventory remains a constraint for sellers but offers opportunities for buyers. There are currently 43 active listings against 26 closed sales in the last six months, resulting in 9.92 months of inventory. While this suggests a buyer's market by traditional definition, the sharp drop in days on market and the rise in prices suggest the market is heating up significantly compared to the prior year. The share of homes selling below original list price fell to 77.8%, down 15.3% from the previous period, further confirming that price cuts are becoming less common as properties move more quickly. This analysis relies on a composite view of speed, pricing power, and supply levels to determine the current market state for Seguin single-family homes. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog