Guadalupe County: New Listings vs. Closings Show Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

113 Clovis CV, San Marcos TX 78666
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $249,000 113 Clovis CV, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #9790048 Listed at $237,223, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,206 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184398223/113-Clovis-CV-San-Marcos-TX Lower-middle quartile: $249,000 to $319,000 397 Copper Path DR, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #8449382 Listed at $299,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,172 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190068195/397-Copper-Path-DR-New-Braunfels-TX Upper-middle quartile: $319,000 to $419,000 1224 Marvin GRV, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #1291010 Listed at $339,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,109 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173562791/1224-Marvin-GRV-Seguin-TX Upper quartile: $419,000 and up 3900 Fm 1979, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #1207603 Listed at $675,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,668 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183272052/3900-Fm-1979-San-Marcos-TX

Key figures · Guadalupe County · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Is there enough inventory to meet demand in Guadalupe County? The latest data reveals a distinct supply gap where new listings outpace closings. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, 151 new homes were added to the market while 86 closed sales occurred. This imbalance suggests that active inventory is accumulating faster than it is being absorbed by buyers. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of supply and demand to quantify this gap. The ratio of new listings to closings stands at approximately 1.75 to 1 during this period. While the median days on market has decreased by 6.5% compared to the prior six-month window, the sheer volume of fresh inventory is keeping options open for buyers. The median closed price rose 2.8% to $318,875 across 86 sales, even as the median living area grew 7.8% to 2,034 square feet. However, the pace of new supply remains the defining factor. With 151 new listings entering the market against 86 closings, the pool of available homes is expanding. This dynamic creates a buyer-friendly environment where selection is broad, even as prices continue their upward trajectory year-over-year. The data reflects ABOR-listed sales only and covers single-family homes with prices net of seller-paid concessions. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Coverage: most home sales in Guadalupe County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=86 closed
Cover photo: Guadalupe River ("14-03-28, guadalupe river - panoramio") by David Dugan, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov