| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Canyon Lake Inventory Signals Buyer Market in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-02
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $316,000
155 Mary Ann DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #2535214
Listed at $299,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,001 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 37% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182633046/155-Mary-Ann-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $316,000 to $392,000
141 Cody CT, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #6017860
Listed at $329,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,265 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186669274/141-Cody-CT-Canyon-Lake-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $392,000 to $682,000
254 Buckhaven DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #8261600
Listed at $575,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,480 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1104577681/254-Buckhaven-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX
Upper quartile: $682,000 and up
1889 Rush CRK, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #2315140
Listed at $849,750, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 4,337 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184252264/1889-Rush-CRK-Canyon-Lake-TX
Key figures · Canyon Lake · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 46 homes sold in Canyon Lake in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 7.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $395,000 (down 12.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $237.
- Median days on market: 72.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.2%.
- 99 homes for sale now, about 12.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How much time does it take for a home to sell in Canyon Lake when supply outpaces demand? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which currently stands at 12.91 months based on the rolling six-month period ending October 31, 2026. This figure is calculated by dividing the current active listings of 99 homes by the average monthly sales rate of roughly 7.7 closed transactions derived from the 46 sales recorded in this window.
A market classification gauge indicates that anything above six months of inventory typically signals a buyer's market, while levels below four months favor sellers. At nearly thirteen months, Canyon Lake is well into buyer territory. This abundance of supply means buyers have significant leverage to negotiate prices and terms. The median days on market has risen to 72 days over this period, confirming that homes are taking longer to move compared to the prior six-month window when it was 98 days, though still slower than the same period last year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzes these supply and demand dynamics to help clients understand their position in the cycle. With 12.9 months of inventory, buyers can expect ample choice and reduced pressure to act immediately. Sellers, conversely, face a competitive landscape where pricing must be realistic to attract attention among the 99 active listings. This data-driven view replaces speculation with clear metrics on market balance.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Canyon Lake are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=46 closed sales
Cover photo: Canyon Lake TX wide by unknown, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










