| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Canyon Lake Market Recap: Sales Up, Prices Down in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-21
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $316,000
4142 Morningside WAY, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #5340236
Listed at $299,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,300 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187531164/4142-Morningside-WAY-Canyon-Lake-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $316,000 to $400,000
231 Vip DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #9397797
Listed at $399,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,080 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179198735/231-Vip-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $400,000 to $735,000
190 Magnolia MDW, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #6359335
Listed at $484,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,956 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184868742/190-Magnolia-MDW-Canyon-Lake-TX
Upper quartile: $735,000 and up
1424 Cattail DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #3233626
Listed at $850,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,816 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164136320/1424-Cattail-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX
Key figures · Canyon Lake · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 43 homes sold in Canyon Lake in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 19.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $425,000 (down 4.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $236.
- Median days on market: 69.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.7%.
- 102 homes for sale now, about 14.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Canyon Lake saw 43 homes sell in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, an increase from the prior six-month period and a rise compared to the same window last year. Despite higher activity, the median closed price settled at $425,000, down 4.6% from $445,450 a year ago and up 6.2% from the prior six-month period.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the data to show that while homes are selling faster than last year, prices remain under pressure. The median days on market dropped 38.9% compared to the prior six months to 69 days, yet it remains 11.3% higher than the same period last year when sales were slower.
The share of homes selling below original list price fell 13.9% year-over-year to 83.7%, suggesting slightly more negotiating power for buyers in recent transactions compared to a year ago. New construction accounted for just two of the 43 closings, while the median living area grew 13.4% year-over-year to 2,113 square feet.
With 102 active listings and 43 sales over six months, the market holds roughly 14.2 months of inventory, indicating a buyer-favorable environment. The median price per square foot held steady at $236, matching the prior period but dipping 0.4% from last year.
Current mortgage rates stand at 7.32% as of the week of October 22, 2026, according to Freddie Mac. A buyer purchasing a median-priced home with a down payment would face a principal and interest payment of $2,336 monthly.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Canyon Lake are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=43
Cover photo: Canyon Lake TX wide by unknown, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










