| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Dale Market Heat Score: High Inventory Slows Sales
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-13
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $302,000
122 Los Fresnos DR, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #9186104
Listed at $260,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,344 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188172471/122-Los-Fresnos-DR-Dale-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $302,000 to $349,000
288 The Forest RD, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #9413725
Listed at $319,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,738 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182819289/288-The-Forest-RD-Dale-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $349,000 to $397,000
227 Margarita DR, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #1765132
Listed at $359,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,306 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188039467/227-Margarita-DR-Dale-TX
Upper quartile: $397,000 and up
2777 Highway 21 Highway W, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #6420094
Listed at $859,999, 3 bed, 2 bath, 8,499 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 48% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190153691/2777-Highway-21-HWY-W-Dale-TX
Key figures · Dale · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 24 homes sold in Dale in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 41.2% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $342,952 (down 4.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $195.
- Median days on market: 118.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.7%.
- 37 homes for sale now, about 22.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How does a market with 22.2 months of inventory feel for buyers and sellers? In Dale, the ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score reflects a significant cooling trend driven by high supply and slower sales velocity. The composite index combines days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions to gauge current conditions.
Over the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, 24 single-family homes closed in Dale. The median close price settled at $342,952, down 4.5% from the prior period and 4.5% lower than the same window last year. Despite the price dip, the median price per square foot rose to $194.64, an 8.8% increase compared to the previous six-month window.
Homes took a median of 118 days on market, which is 21.3% faster than the prior period but still indicates a slow pace. The median close-to-original list ratio stood at 0.917, meaning homes sold for 91.7% of their original asking price. This represents a 2.1% drop in the ratio compared to the prior period. Notably, 100% of closed sales fell below the original list price, a sharp rise from the 70.6% seen previously.
With 37 active listings and only 24 closings over the year, the market holds 22.2 months of inventory. This high supply level is a primary driver of the current heat score, signaling a distinct buyer's environment where negotiation power has shifted significantly toward purchasers.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=24
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










