Caldwell County Inventory Signals a Balanced Market

Is the Caldwell County market finally shifting from a seller's advantage to a balance for buyers? The latest data suggests yes. With 5.7 months of inventory on hand as of October 2026, the region has moved into the neutral zone where supply and demand are roughly equal. This figure is calculated by dividing the 228 active listings currently on the market by the average monthly sales pace derived from the trailing twelve-month data. A balanced market typically means neither side holds overwhelming leverage. In October, 42 single-family homes closed at a median price of $258,628, representing a 3.5% increase from the same month last year. However, the time it takes to sell has lengthened significantly. The median days on market rose to 66 days, up 78.4% compared to October 2025 when homes sold in just 37 days. This extended timeline coincides with a rise in price reductions. The share of closed sales that went for less than the original list price reached 90.5%, a sharp increase from 78.9% a year ago. While the market remains active with 121% more closings than last October, the combination of rising inventory and longer selling times indicates that buyers now have more negotiating power than they did twelve months ago. ALEX Intelligence classifies this 5.68-month supply as a balanced market, distinct from the seller's market (under 4 months) or buyer's market (over 6 months). As new listings continue to arrive, the window for sellers to command top dollar is narrowing, while buyers can expect more time to evaluate options before making an offer. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog