| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Granite Shoals Market Heat Score: A Deep Dive into October Data
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $288,000
1208 Prairie Creek RD, Granite Shoals TX 78654 · MLS #5242629
Listed at $250,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,298 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 50% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190382229/1208-Prairie-Creek-RD-Granite-Shoals-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $288,000 to $565,000
1515 Valley High LN, Granite Shoals TX 78654 · MLS #9534490
Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,197 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 38% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177609717/1515-Valley-High-LN-Granite-Shoals-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $565,000 to $987,000
2403 Belaire East LN, Granite Shoals TX 78654 · MLS #7442633
Listed at $829,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,342 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180123084/2403-Belaire-East-LN-Granite-Shoals-TX
Upper quartile: $987,000 and up
1104 Hill Circle West DR, Granite Shoals TX 78654 · MLS #9183803
Listed at $1,250,000, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,540 sq ft. Listed 19% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176384095/1104-Hill-Circle-West-DR-Granite-Shoals-TX
Key figures · Granite Shoals · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 54 homes sold in Granite Shoals in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 107.7% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $565,000 (up 78.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $282.
- Median days on market: 124.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.8%.
- 48 homes for sale now, about 8.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a median price of $565,000 mean when homes sit for an average of 124 days? In Granite Shoals, the market is moving at a measured pace despite significant price appreciation over the last year.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, the close-to-original list ratio, inventory levels, and the share of listings with price reductions. This score synthesizes raw data into a single metric ranging from 0 to 100 to indicate current market conditions.
The data reveals a distinct shift in buyer behavior. While the median closing price jumped 78.6% compared to the prior rolling period, the time required to sell a home increased by 4.2%. Only 91.8% of the original list price was achieved on average, and 92.6% of sales closed below the initial asking price. With 8.5 months of inventory currently available, supply is outpacing demand relative to historical norms.
This combination of rising prices but slower turnover and lower sale-to-list ratios suggests a market that is cooling in terms of velocity, even as values climb. The heat score reflects this tension: buyers have more leverage to negotiate, yet the underlying asset value continues to rise. This analysis relies on 54 closed sales over the trailing 12 months, providing a stable view of the local single-family home market.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=54
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









