Johnson City Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

105 Ranchview DR, Johnson City TX 78636
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $370,000 105 Ranchview DR, Johnson City TX 78636 · MLS #2275909 Listed at $279,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 906 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189572590/105-Ranchview-DR-Johnson-City-TX Lower-middle quartile: $370,000 to $552,000 205 Old Austin Highway, Johnson City TX 78636 · MLS #1823317 Listed at $449,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,360 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179723594/205-Old-Austin-HWY-Johnson-City-TX Upper-middle quartile: $552,000 to $1,105,000 300 E Bluebonnet LN, Johnson City TX 78636 · MLS #9230064 Listed at $599,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,042 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183348670/300-E-Bluebonnet-LN-Johnson-City-TX Upper quartile: $1,105,000 and up 598 Lookout Mountain RD, Johnson City TX 78636 · MLS #8163853 Listed at $2,450,000, 5 bed, 5.5 bath, 5,729 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183031694/598-Lookout-Mountain-RD-Johnson-City-TX

Key figures · Johnson City 78636 · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does a median price of $500,000 mean for entry-level buyers in Johnson City when mortgage rates sit at 7.11%? ALEX Intelligence analyzed the rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, to assess affordability for single-family homes in this market. The median close price reached $500,000, a 16.3% increase compared to the prior period and the same window last year. This rise occurred alongside a 22.7% jump in median living area to 2,100 square feet. However, the share of homes selling below original list price dropped to 80.6%, down from 89.2% previously, indicating that while prices are higher, negotiation leverage has shifted slightly compared to last year. For buyers financing a home at the current 7.11% rate with 20% down, the principal and interest payment on a median-priced home is $2,691 per month. A 3-2-1 buydown would reduce the first-year rate to 4.11%, lowering the monthly payment to $1,935 for a total cost of $18,444 over three years. Conversely, a 2-1 buydown would result in a first-year payment of $2,174 with a total cost of $9,372. The market currently holds 41 active listings against a pace of roughly 3 closed sales per month, creating approximately 13.7 months of inventory. This high supply level suggests that while entry-level prices have climbed, the volume of available homes remains significant for those who can secure financing at current rates. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=31; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Nov 12, 2026.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov