Bell County New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

5623 Fair Hill DR, Temple TX 76502
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $240,000 5623 Fair Hill DR, Temple TX 76502 · MLS #7879631 Listed at $225,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,496 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182937325/5623-Fair-Hill-DR-Temple-TX Lower-middle quartile: $240,000 to $286,000 3017 Dimmit DR, Temple TX 76501 · MLS #7125266 Listed at $271,545, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,702 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185034224/3017-Dimmit-DR-Temple-TX Upper-middle quartile: $286,000 to $401,000 5508 Denmans Mountain RD, Belton TX 76513 · MLS #3353024 Listed at $365,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,144 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180558422/5508-Denmans-Mountain-RD-Belton-TX Upper quartile: $401,000 and up 7711 Silicon DR, Killeen TX 76542 · MLS #2567155 Listed at $414,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,443 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186864751/7711-Silicon-DR-Killeen-TX

Key figures · Bell County · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Bell County's housing market is experiencing a shift in balance as new listings outpace closings. In September 2026, 119 new homes hit the market while 101 properties successfully closed, creating a net increase in available inventory. This dynamic marks a departure from tighter conditions seen earlier in the year, where sales activity was more robust relative to new supply. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this supply gap. The data shows that while 101 homes sold for a median price of $275,000 across 101 closed sales, the influx of 119 new listings has pushed total active inventory to 504 homes today. This accumulation suggests a gradual move toward a more balanced environment compared to the seller-favored conditions of previous months. The sample size for this analysis covers 101 closed transactions in September, providing a clear view of current market velocity. With 119 new listings entering the pool against 101 closings, the ratio indicates that supply is growing faster than demand is absorbing it. This shift allows buyers more options and may reduce competitive pressure on pricing, as the months of inventory calculation reflects this expanding stock. The trend highlights a critical inflection point for both buyers and sellers. For sellers, the widening gap implies increased competition among listings. For buyers, the rising inventory offers greater negotiating leverage. The data underscores that while sales volume remains steady, the rate of new supply is now outpacing the rate of closings, altering the market's equilibrium in Bell County. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Coverage: most home sales in Bell County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, September 2026, n=101 closed
Cover photo: Lampasas River from Maxdale Bridge, Bell County by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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