| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Smithville New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-05
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $255,000
203 Hudgins ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #3157976
Listed at $217,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,562 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185959815/203-Hudgins-ST-Smithville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $255,000 to $320,000
106 Caddo, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #4689823
Listed at $300,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,194 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1162162132/106-Caddo-Smithville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $408,000
358 Easley RD, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #4310259
Listed at $375,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,627 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 29% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189887932/358-Easley-RD-Smithville-TX
Upper quartile: $408,000 and up
180 Ironstone RD, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #7977634
Listed at $500,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 3,225 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186732820/180-Ironstone-RD-Smithville-TX
Key figures · Smithville · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 55 homes sold in Smithville in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 66.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $318,000 (up 1.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $210.
- Median days on market: 80.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.7%.
- 70 homes for sale now, about 7.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Smithville saw a notable shift in its supply dynamics over the past six months. New listings jumped to 77, up from 50 in the prior period, while closed sales rose to 55 from 37. This dual increase created a fresh supply gap where new inventory is entering the market faster than it is being absorbed by buyers.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the rolling six-month window ending Oct 31, 2026, to track this trend. The median days on market for closed homes dropped to 80 days from 91 days in the prior period, a 12.1% decrease, suggesting that despite more homes coming online, those that do sell are moving slightly faster than before. However, the median close price dipped 2.8% to $318,000, and the median price per square foot rose 14.1% to $210, reflecting a shift toward smaller homes or different property mixes rather than broad price appreciation.
The ratio of new listings to closings indicates a market where supply is expanding. With 77 new listings added against 55 closed sales, the inventory pool has grown. This environment favors buyers with more options but may pressure sellers to price competitively, as seen in the median close-to-original list ratio improving slightly to 93.7% from 88.7%.
The data shows a market adjusting to increased activity. While sales volume is up compared to the prior six months, the influx of new listings suggests a balancing act between supply and demand that continues to evolve through late 2026.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and new listing activity, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=55 closed sales
Cover photo: McCaskill Building Smithville Texas 2026 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










