| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Smithville New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $252,000
302 Harris ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #7110006
Listed at $219,444, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,170 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176792886/302-Harris-ST-Smithville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $252,000 to $320,000
404 Rivers ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #5316127
Listed at $299,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,120 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182515788/404-Rivers-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $400,000
504 Gresham ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #9932240
Listed at $364,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,664 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183383375/504-Gresham-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper quartile: $400,000 and up
2169 Highway 304, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #2622384
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1146055420/2169-Highway-304-Smithville-TX
Key figures · Smithville · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 52 homes sold in Smithville in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 44.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $320,000 (up 1.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $209.
- Median days on market: 80.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 71 homes for sale now, about 8.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Smithville saw a notable shift in supply dynamics over the last six months, with new listings rising to 78 compared to 45 in the prior six-month window. Meanwhile, closed sales increased from 37 to 52 transactions. This dual-axis trend reveals a widening gap between fresh inventory entering the market and homes actually selling.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand flow by comparing new listing counts against closed sale volumes. The data shows that while sellers are bringing more properties to market, the rate of closings has also accelerated, though not enough to fully absorb the influx of new supply. In the prior period, 45 homes were listed and 37 sold; in the current rolling window, 78 listings joined the market against 52 sales.
The median days on market for these transactions stood at 80 days, up 1.3% from the prior period and significantly higher than the same window last year when it was 46 days. This suggests that despite increased activity, homes are taking longer to sell as inventory accumulates. The median close price remained steady at $320,000, while the median price per square foot rose to $209 from $194 in the prior period.
With 78 new listings and 52 closings, the market is absorbing supply but facing a temporary surplus of active inventory. Buyers now have more options, while sellers face increased competition as homes sit longer on the market before closing.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=52 closed sales and 78 new listings
Cover photo: McCaskill Building Smithville Texas 2026 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










