| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Smithville: How Rates and Buydowns Affect Buying Power
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $252,000
302 Harris ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #7110006
Listed at $219,444, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,170 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176792886/302-Harris-ST-Smithville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $252,000 to $320,000
404 Rivers ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #5316127
Listed at $299,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,120 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182515788/404-Rivers-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $400,000
504 Gresham ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #9932240
Listed at $364,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,664 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183383375/504-Gresham-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper quartile: $400,000 and up
2169 Highway 304, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #2622384
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1146055420/2169-Highway-304-Smithville-TX
Key figures · Smithville · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 52 homes sold in Smithville in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 44.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $320,000 (up 1.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $209.
- Median days on market: 80.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 71 homes for sale now, about 8.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in Smithville today? With the median home price at $320,000 and current rates at 7.32%, monthly principal and interest payments sit at $1,759. This is where buydowns become a critical tool for expanding affordability in the current market.
ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown structures to show their impact on monthly cash flow. A 3-2-1 buydown reduces the rate to 4.32% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $489 compared to the standard rate. In year two, the rate rises to 5.32%, saving $334 monthly, and in year three, it sits at 6.32%, saving $171. The total cost for this buydown is $11,928, or roughly 3.73% of the median sale price.
A shorter 2-1 buydown offers a slightly different profile. It lowers the rate to 5.32% in the first year, saving $334 monthly, and to 6.32% in the second year, saving $171. The total cost for this option is $6,060, or 1.89% of the median sale price. These figures are based on a median sale price of $320,000 with principal and interest only.
While prices have remained stable at $320,000 compared to the prior six-month period, the higher rate environment means that buydowns can effectively lower the entry cost for qualified buyers. The data reflects 52 closed sales over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=52; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
Cover photo: McCaskill Building Smithville Texas 2026 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










