| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Paige: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Year
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-10
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $350,000
1430 Antioch RD, Paige TX 78659 · MLS #5934938
Listed at $280,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,260 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 5% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186569817/1430-Antioch-RD-Paige-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $350,000 to $435,000
145 Cardinal LOOP, Paige TX 78659 · MLS #3983833
Listed at $375,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,800 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184828969/145-Cardinal-LOOP-Paige-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $435,000 to $542,000
237 Cardinal DR, Bastrop TX 78659 · MLS #5967423
Listed at $450,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,096 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 35% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188901864/237-Cardinal-DR-Bastrop-TX
Upper quartile: $542,000 and up
1099 Private Road 1061, Paige TX 78659 · MLS #5196915
Listed at $815,000, 4 bed, 1.5 bath, 1,281 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175946316/1099-Private-Road-1061-Paige-TX
Key figures · Paige 78659 · rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 23 homes sold in Paige 78659 in the 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 27.8% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $425,000 (down 6.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $229.
- Median days on market: 91.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.8%.
- 21 homes for sale now, about 11.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In the rolling 12 months ending October 31, 2026, Paige saw 38 new homes listed against just 23 closed sales. This imbalance creates a supply gap where incoming inventory exceeds the pace of transactions. The dual-axis trend shows that while sellers are bringing properties to market at a steady rate, buyers are closing deals more slowly than in previous periods.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the flow of listings and closings to quantify this gap. With 38 new entries and only 23 finalized sales, the local inventory is accumulating rather than depleting. This dynamic often leads to increased competition among sellers as time on market extends. The median days on market for closed homes dropped to 91 days compared to 136 days in the prior period, yet the volume of new supply remains higher than the absorption rate.
The median close price settled at $425,000 across those 23 sales, down 6.4% from the prior 12-month window. While homes are selling for a slightly higher percentage of their original list price (92.8% vs 91.4%), the sheer volume of new listings suggests buyers have more options to choose from. This environment favors those looking to negotiate, as the ratio of new supply to closed demand remains above one.
The data reflects a market where supply is outpacing demand in the short term, even as price adjustments and faster sales cycles indicate active buyer engagement.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=23 closed sales and n=38 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










