Cedar Creek: Where Prices Were Cut Most in October

Deal of the Week

235 Red Tail Hawk LN, Cedar Creek TX 78612
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $334,000 235 Red Tail Hawk LN, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #1582735 Listed at $324,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,005 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519875/235-Red-Tail-Hawk-LN-Cedar-Creek-TX Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $376,000 156 Coopers Hawk CRST, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #1381713 Listed at $349,990, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,044 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183808116/156-Coopers-Hawk-CRST-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper-middle quartile: $376,000 to $540,000 197 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #9640981 Listed at $500,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,060 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179669258/197-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $540,000 and up 184 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #6248025 Listed at $599,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,628 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180256540/184-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX

Key figures · Cedar Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In Cedar Creek, nearly every home that sold in the last six months came with a price reduction before closing. ALEX Intelligence analyzed 103 closed sales to find that 91% of listings were reduced at least once, compared to 78% during the same period last year. The median close price fell to $370,000, down 4.5% from the prior six-month period and 9.8% lower than a year ago. This shift marks a significant change in negotiation power. While sellers previously held more leverage, the data shows that buyers now have greater ability to negotiate below the asking price. The median close-to-original list ratio improved to 0.908, meaning homes are selling for 90.8% of their original list price on average. This is a notable increase from the 0.866 ratio seen in the prior period, indicating that sellers are becoming more realistic about pricing strategies. The market activity remains robust despite these adjustments. The median days on market dropped sharply to 66 days, down 51% from the previous six months, suggesting that once a home is priced correctly, it moves quickly. However, the high rate of price cuts indicates that initial listing prices often need correction to attract offers. For sellers, this data suggests that aggressive initial pricing may be necessary to avoid prolonged market time and multiple reductions. For buyers, the current environment offers more opportunities to negotiate favorable terms. The median price per square foot also declined 1.6% from the prior period, reflecting these broader pricing adjustments across the city. The analysis covers single-family homes, condos, and townhomes within Cedar Creek. All figures are derived from Unlock MLS data for the rolling six-month window ending October 31, 2026. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=103
Cover photo: CedarCreekHSBastropISDTX by WhisperToMe, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov