| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
The Colony: New Listings vs. Closings Show Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $370,000
170 Maravillas BND, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7849147
Listed at $345,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,041 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 11% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517535/170-Maravillas-BND-Bastrop-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $370,000 to $423,000
113 Salado Creek TRL, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8463361
Listed at $399,990, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,154 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183290570/113-Salado-Creek-TRL-Bastrop-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $423,000 to $535,000
142 Kildrummy PASS, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #4640985
Listed at $449,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,180 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190016832/142-Kildrummy-PASS-Bastrop-TX
Upper quartile: $535,000 and up
145 Pinyon Pine DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #5346265
Listed at $559,346, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,400 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191283224/145-Pinyon-Pine-DR-Bastrop-TX
Key figures · The Colony · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 100 homes sold in The Colony in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 28.2% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $429,995 (up 3.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $177.
- Median days on market: 104.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.8%.
- 79 homes for sale now, about 4.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In The Colony, the balance between new supply and buyer demand shifted over the last six months as new listings outpaced closings. A total of 148 homes were added to the market while 100 transactions closed, creating a visible gap between what sellers brought forward and what buyers completed.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closed sales to quantify this supply dynamic. The data shows that for every 100 homes sold, approximately 148 new listings entered the market during the rolling six-month window ending October 31, 2026. This influx suggests a period where inventory accumulation may have outstripped absorption rates, even as median prices rose 7.3% compared to the prior six months.
The sample size of 100 closed sales provides a robust view of this trend, with the median home selling for $429,995. While the number of new listings increased relative to the prior period, the volume of closings also grew, indicating steady buyer activity despite the higher supply. This dynamic helps explain why the median days on market remained elevated at 104 days, as buyers had more options to choose from before committing.
Understanding this gap is critical for pricing strategy. When new listings consistently exceed closings, it often leads to increased competition among sellers and potential price adjustments. The data confirms that while demand remains active, the supply side has expanded significantly in recent months.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS new listing and closed-sale activity, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=100 closed sales
Cover photo: Ridgepointe Park, The Colony, TX by Kevin Payravi, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










