| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
The Colony Market Heat Score: A Balanced Signal in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-05
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $370,000
216 George Neggan LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #3931307
Listed at $279,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,912 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 24% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189841461/216-George-Neggan-LN-Bastrop-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $370,000 to $425,000
131 Ironbark BND, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #6275783
Listed at $407,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,075 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1171876284/131-Ironbark-BND-Bastrop-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $425,000 to $538,000
120 Salado Creek TRL, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8365561
Listed at $454,990, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,331 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183286867/120-Salado-Creek-TRL-Bastrop-TX
Upper quartile: $538,000 and up
187 Pioneer PSGE, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8618654
Listed at $539,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,503 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183132227/187-Pioneer-PSGE-Bastrop-TX
Key figures · The Colony · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 99 homes sold in The Colony in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 26.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $439,900 (up 5.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $180.
- Median days on market: 64.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.8%.
- 79 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The Colony market heat score for the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, indicates a balanced market environment where supply and demand are closely matched. This composite index, calculated by ALEX Intelligence using median days on market, sale-to-list price ratios, inventory levels, and price reduction rates, currently points to stability rather than extreme buyer or seller dominance.
Over the past six months, 99 homes closed with a median price of $439,900, representing a 7.4% increase from the prior period and a 5.2% rise compared to the same window last year. The market is moving faster than before; median days on market dropped to 64 days, down 28.9% from the previous six months, though this remains 12.3% higher than the same period a year ago.
Inventory levels stand at 4.79 months of supply, placing the market firmly in balanced territory where neither side holds a decisive advantage. While 85.9% of homes sold below their original list price, the close-to-list ratio has improved to 0.918, showing buyers are negotiating closer to asking prices than in the prior period. With 79 active listings and 16 new sales in October alone, the market remains active but steady for both buyers and sellers.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=99 closed sales
Cover photo: Ridgepointe Park, The Colony, TX by Kevin Payravi, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










