Bastrop County: New Listings vs. Closings Show Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

1114 W 2nd ST, Elgin TX 78621
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $291,000 1114 W 2nd ST, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #8045317 Listed at $280,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,824 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184787188/1114-W-2nd-ST-Elgin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $291,000 to $345,000 138 Hornet ST, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #6262102 Listed at $298,450, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,698 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184166070/138-Hornet-ST-Elgin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $345,000 to $439,000 111 Cassins Nest, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #4388458 Listed at $400,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 3,016 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190275382/111-Cassins-Nest-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $439,000 and up 114 Upola CT, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #1479922 Listed at $574,900, 5 bed, 3 bath, 1,994 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175755312/114-Upola-CT-Bastrop-TX

Key figures · Bastrop County · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In October, Bastrop County saw a notable divergence between new supply and buyer demand. While 152 new homes hit the market, only 84 properties successfully closed to sale. This gap between new listings and closings defines the current supply dynamic for buyers and sellers in the area. The number of new listings dropped 10% compared to September's 169, while closed sales fell even sharper at 19%, down from 104 transactions. A shrinking pool of active inventory often signals a tightening market, yet the drop in closings suggests buyers are still hesitating or facing financing hurdles despite fewer options. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend to highlight this imbalance. When new supply outpaces closings, prices typically soften; when closings outpace new listings, competition intensifies. Here, the sharper decline in sales indicates that demand is currently contracting faster than the rate at which homes are being listed. The median price for closed sales settled at $330,545 across 84 transactions, a 2% decrease from the prior month. Meanwhile, the median days on market stretched to 97 days, up 9% from September. This combination of lower volume and longer listing times suggests a market where sellers may need to adjust expectations as the inventory gap shifts. The data reflects a cooling phase where supply is stabilizing but buyer activity remains subdued. Understanding this ratio helps stakeholders gauge whether to list now or wait for conditions to shift in the coming months. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and new listings, October 2026, n=84 closed; n=152 new listings
Cover photo: Bastrop by gillfoto, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov