Bastrop County Months of Inventory: Buyer's Market?

Deal of the Week

123 Saranac DR, Elgin TX 78621
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $293,000 123 Saranac DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #5423569 Listed at $215,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,274 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187358304/123-Saranac-DR-Elgin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $293,000 to $345,000 225 Waikakaaua DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7083557 Listed at $314,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,644 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185322594/225-Waikakaaua-DR-Bastrop-TX Upper-middle quartile: $345,000 to $440,000 167 Puu Waa Waa LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7389997 Listed at $375,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,737 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180256548/167-Puu-Waa-Waa-LN-Bastrop-TX Upper quartile: $440,000 and up 179 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #8646566 Listed at $450,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,564 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524106/179-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX

Key figures · Bastrop County · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Is the Bastrop County housing market shifting decisively toward buyers? The latest data shows 6.3 months of inventory as of early November, a figure calculated by dividing the 706 active listings by the average monthly closings derived from the trailing twelve-month total of 672 closed sales. This level indicates a buyer's market, where supply exceeds demand and gives purchasers more leverage in negotiations. The classification relies on ALEX Intelligence analysis of inventory turnover. With 83 closed sales recorded in October alone, the pace of absorption has slowed compared to previous months. The median days on market rose 20.3% from the prior period to 89 days, confirming that homes are staying listed longer. This extended timeline is a hallmark of buyer-favorable conditions, allowing more time for due diligence and price adjustments. While the median sale price dipped 3.2% month-over-month to $348,500, the market remains active with 706 properties currently available. Buyers can expect to find options across various price points, from entry-level homes in Harvest Ridge to luxury properties in The Colony. Sellers should anticipate a longer sales cycle and may need to adjust expectations regarding list-to-sale ratios, which have softened as competition among listings increases. The shift toward a buyer's market is evident in the rising inventory levels and extended time on market. As the supply of available homes continues to outpace the rate of closings, buyers are positioned to negotiate more effectively in this October snapshot of the Bastrop County landscape. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, October 2026, n=83 closed; 706 active homes
Cover photo: Bastrop by gillfoto, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov