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Bastrop County: October Market Recap and Outlook
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $293,000
123 Saranac DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #5423569
Listed at $215,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,274 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187358304/123-Saranac-DR-Elgin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $293,000 to $345,000
225 Waikakaaua DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7083557
Listed at $314,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,644 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185322594/225-Waikakaaua-DR-Bastrop-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $345,000 to $440,000
167 Puu Waa Waa LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7389997
Listed at $375,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,737 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180256548/167-Puu-Waa-Waa-LN-Bastrop-TX
Upper quartile: $440,000 and up
179 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #8646566
Listed at $450,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,564 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524106/179-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX
Key figures · Bastrop County · October 2026
- 79 homes sold in Bastrop County in October 2026 (down 16.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $350,000 (up 3.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $178.
- Median days on market: 91.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.5%.
- 703 homes for sale now, about 6.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Bastrop County saw median home prices rise to $350,000 in October, marking a 3.2% increase compared to the same month last year. This price growth occurred alongside a 16.0% decline in sales volume, with 79 closed transactions falling short of the 94 closings recorded in October 2025. The market also cooled relative to September, as sales dropped 24.8% and median prices dipped 2.8% from the previous month.
Days on market extended significantly, rising 23.0% to a median of 91 days compared to prior period figures. Homes continued to sell for less than their original list price, with 86.1% of sales closing below asking, though this share decreased slightly year-over-year. The median price per square foot fell 6.8% from last October to $178, while the average home size grew 5.3% to 1,932 square feet.
New construction activity remained a key driver, accounting for 32 of the 79 closings. Inventory levels remain elevated with 703 active listings, creating a 6.26-month supply. At current sales rates, this volume suggests a balanced market where buyers have time to evaluate options without immediate pressure.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed these trends using a rolling dashboard of monthly closed sales and inventory metrics to summarize the October performance. The data reflects a market adjusting to higher interest rates, with prices holding steady despite reduced transaction activity.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=79
Cover photo: Bastrop by gillfoto, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









