| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Bastrop County Market Heat Score: Cooling in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $293,000
123 Saranac DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #5423569
Listed at $215,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,274 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187358304/123-Saranac-DR-Elgin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $293,000 to $345,000
225 Waikakaaua DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7083557
Listed at $314,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,644 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185322594/225-Waikakaaua-DR-Bastrop-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $345,000 to $440,000
167 Puu Waa Waa LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7389997
Listed at $375,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,737 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180256548/167-Puu-Waa-Waa-LN-Bastrop-TX
Upper quartile: $440,000 and up
179 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #8646566
Listed at $450,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,564 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524106/179-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX
Key figures · Bastrop County · October 2026
- 78 homes sold in Bastrop County in October 2026 (down 17.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $349,750 (up 3.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $180.
- Median days on market: 92.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.5%.
- 702 homes for sale now, about 6.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Bastrop County's market heat has cooled noticeably in October, with homes taking an average of 92 days to sell compared to 74 days in September. This 24% increase in median days on market signals a shift toward more balanced conditions after a period of faster sales. The ALEX Intelligence composite index, which weighs speed of sale, list-to-sale ratios, and inventory levels, reflects this deceleration as the region absorbs new supply.
With 702 active listings and 78 closed sales in October, the market now holds approximately 6.3 months of inventory. This level suggests a transition from a seller-favorable environment toward balance, where buyers have more selection and sellers face longer marketing times. The median sale price settled at $349,750, down 2.2% from the prior month but up 3.2% compared to October of last year.
The heat score calculation incorporates these dynamics: slower turnover reduces the speed component, while the stable price performance and moderate inventory levels prevent a sharp drop in the overall index. Buyers entering the market now face less competition for individual properties, though financing costs at 7.24% remain a factor. Sellers should anticipate longer listing durations and may need to adjust expectations regarding time on market and final sale prices relative to original list prices.
The ALEX Intelligence estimate of the current heat score reflects these combined factors, providing a data-driven gauge of local market momentum rather than a prediction of future direction.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, October 2026, n=78
Cover photo: Bastrop by gillfoto, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









