ABOR Region Market Heat Score: Cooling in October

Is the ABOR / Unlock MLS Region cooling down? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for October 2026 dropped to 42 out of 100, reflecting a shift toward more balanced conditions compared to the previous month. This composite index combines four key metrics: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the share of listings with price cuts. The data shows a clear trend of softening demand. Median days on market rose 8.2% to 66 days across 2,251 closed sales, indicating homes are staying listed longer. Simultaneously, the median close price fell 7.9% year-over-year to $397,889, while the share of homes selling below original list price remained high at 83.2%. Inventory levels also play a role; with 4.92 months of supply available, the market is no longer in a tight seller's territory. The heat score calculation weights these factors to provide a single indicator of market velocity. A score near 50 suggests a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. In this region, the combination of rising inventory time and downward price pressure has lowered the overall heat index. This analysis is based on 2,251 closed sales in October 2026, providing a robust view of current regional activity. ALEX Intelligence estimates this score by normalizing each metric against its historical range for the region. The result offers a snapshot of where the market stands today without predicting future direction. For buyers and sellers, a score of 42 signals that patience may be rewarded as negotiation leverage shifts slightly away from the seller side. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog