ABOR Region Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check for October

Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $315,000 702 N 2nd ST, Copperas Cove TX 76522 · MLS #5446211 Listed at $119,999, 3 bed, 1 bath, 897 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 25% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178326149/702-N-2nd-ST-Copperas-Cove-TX Lower-middle quartile: $315,000 to $416,000 501 W Buck Street, Caldwell TX 77836 · MLS #7190909 Listed at $378,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 3,680 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; 41% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178626501/501-W-Buck-Street-Caldwell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $416,000 to $630,000 5810 Secrest DR, Austin TX 78759 · MLS #8657587 Listed at $515,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,183 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180761448/5810-Secrest-DR-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $630,000 and up 20808 Sandy Brown LN, Webberville TX 78621 · MLS #5853320 Listed at $729,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,504 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175728544/20808-Sandy-Brown-LN-Webberville-TX

Key figures · ABOR / Unlock MLS Region · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does it take to buy an entry-level home in the ABOR / Unlock MLS Region right now? The bottom quartile of sales in October closed at a median price of $284,999. This figure represents the most affordable tier of homes sold in the region during the month. ALEX Intelligence calculated affordability using the current market rate of 7.24% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week ending October 29, 2026. At this rate with a standard 20% down payment, the principal and interest on a loan for an entry-level home would be approximately $1,584 per month. This scenario assumes a median sale price of $284,999 and does not include taxes or insurance. The data shows that while prices in this tier remain accessible, the cost of borrowing has shifted the landscape compared to previous years. The median entry-level price is down 6.3% from the same month last year, yet the monthly payment burden remains significant due to current interest rates. Buyers looking at this segment should note that activity in this price range indicates steady demand despite the higher financing costs. This analysis focuses strictly on the financial mechanics of purchasing a home in the lowest price quartile. It does not predict future price movements or suggest specific neighborhoods as investments. The figures reflect actual closed sales and current mortgage rates available to qualified buyers. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=2361
Cover photo: Lady Bird Lake, downtown Austin by Oleg Yunakov, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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