Travis County: Is It a Buyer's or Seller's Market in September?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $352,000
4600 Cottonwood ST, Austin TX 78744 · MLS #6578130
Listed at $340,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,234 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 31% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182619406/4600-Cottonwood-ST-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $352,000 to $500,000
10001 Woodglen DR, Austin TX 78753 · MLS #7238426
Listed at $365,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,677 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180389034/10001-Woodglen-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $799,000
11904 Viscaya WAY, Austin TX 78726 · MLS #4550783
Listed at $699,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,154 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182523552/11904-Viscaya-WAY-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $799,000 and up
427 Bella Montagna CIR, Austin TX 78734 · MLS #8245018
Listed at $1,097,000, 7 bed, 5 bath, 4,752 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522282/427-Bella-Montagna-CIR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Travis County · September 2026
- 1,090 homes sold in Travis County in September 2026 (down 3.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $491,000 (up 1.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $251.
- Median days on market: 52.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.2%.
- 6,375 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is Travis County currently a buyer's or seller's market? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In September 2026, there were 4.75 months of inventory across 1,090 closed sales. This figure places the market firmly in balanced territory, where neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive advantage.
A market is generally considered a buyer's market with fewer than six months of inventory and a seller's market with more than six months. Travis County sits right in the middle, indicating stable conditions for both parties. While the median closed price rose slightly to $491,000 compared to last year, the 52 days on market suggests buyers still have time to evaluate options without immediate pressure.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand dynamics using the ratio of active listings to monthly closings. The data shows that while inventory has increased compared to the prior period, sales volume remains robust enough to prevent a surplus. This balance means prices are likely to remain steady rather than surge or drop significantly in the near term.
For sellers, this environment suggests patience is key; for buyers, it offers a window to negotiate without the urgency of a bidding war. The market conditions reflect a healthy equilibrium where supply and demand are closely matched.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=1090
Cover photo: Highland Club Village, Marshall Ford ("Highland Club Village, Marshall Ford, TX 78734, USA - panoramio") by JAGarcia, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










