Mayfield Ranch Entry-Level Homes: Can Buyers Afford Them?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-24
Key figures · Mayfield Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 61 homes sold in Mayfield Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 3.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $550,000 (up 2.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $209.
- Median days on market: 22.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.9%.
- 35 homes for sale now, about 3.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Can buyers afford the median entry-level home in Mayfield Ranch today? With a median close price of $550,000 across 61 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, affordability remains a key consideration for first-time buyers.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the bottom quartile of sales to determine entry-level affordability. The median price for these homes is $550,000. At a current mortgage rate of 7.32% (Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of October 22, 2026), a buyer making a down payment on this median price would face a principal and interest payment of $3,022 per month.
The data shows that 75.4% of these entry-level homes sold below their original list price, indicating room for negotiation. However, the median days on market has dropped significantly to 22 days compared to 59 days in the prior period, suggesting competition is increasing even at this price point. A 3-2-1 buydown would cost approximately $20,460, reducing the first-year payment to $2,183, while a 2-1 buydown would cost about $10,392, lowering the first-year payment to $2,449.
While prices have risen 5.2% compared to the prior six-month period, the faster sales velocity suggests that entry-level inventory is moving quickly. Buyers should be prepared for competitive conditions and consider how buydowns might impact their monthly cash flow in this current rate environment.
Looking to buy in Mayfield Ranch? Get new listings the day they hit the market.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=61
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




