Liberty Hill: Is It a Buyer's or Seller's Market?

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 · Listed by Opendoor Brokerage, LLC. ALEX valuation $362,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $379,000 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 Listed at $330,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,107 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186817379/125-High-Valley-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $379,000 to $500,000 191 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8928560 Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182995890/191-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $675,000 301 Yaklin DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8632660 Listed at $669,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,622 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164190770/301-Yaklin-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $675,000 and up 112 Mescalero, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1043163 Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,984 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185140853/112-Mescalero-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026

88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $199.

Median days on market: 76.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.

498 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Is the Liberty Hill market currently tipping in favor of buyers or sellers? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In September 2026, there were 498 active homes and 88 closed sales over the trailing month, resulting in 4.83 months of inventory. This figure places Liberty Hill in a transitional zone between a balanced market and a buyer's market. Typically, less than six months indicates a seller's or balanced environment, while more than six months signals a buyer's market. At 4.83 months, the market is cooling slightly compared to tighter conditions but has not yet swung fully into buyer territory. The median sale price for these 88 closed homes was $472,400, down 8% from August but up 5.8% from September 2025. Homes spent a median of 76 days on the market, an increase of 11.8% from the prior month and 15.6% faster than the same time last year. With 4.83 months of supply, buyers have more selection than in a seller's market, yet demand remains active enough to prevent a significant price drop. ALEX Intelligence classifies this inventory level as leaning toward a buyer's market, though it remains close to equilibrium. For sellers, the data suggests that pricing must be precise to compete with the 498 homes currently available. For buyers, the current supply offers more negotiating room than in previous months, but the market is not yet flooded. The classification relies on the ratio of active listings to monthly sales volume, a standard metric for gauging market balance. As inventory levels shift, so does the leverage between buyers and sellers in Liberty Hill. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951