Hays County: Where Prices Were Cut Most in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-19
Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 249 Seabreeze ST, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #5413637
Listed at $295,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,207 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183102368/249-Seabreeze-ST-Kyle-TX
2. 282 Denali DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #2820268
Listed at $290,605, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,772 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173568569/282-Denali-DR-Kyle-TX
3. 284 Everglade DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9392210
Listed at $394,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,641 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183543694/284-Everglade-DR-Buda-TX
4. 245 Ammolite Ln, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #8698031
Listed at $233,500, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,600 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175709807/245-Ammolite-Ln-Maxwell-TX
5. 175 Seabreeze ST, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #8023107
Listed at $296,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,207 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186199936/175-Seabreeze-ST-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Hays County · September 2026
- 322 homes sold in Hays County in September 2026 (down 22.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $372,495 (up 2.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $185.
- Median days on market: 56.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.4%.
- 1,935 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In September, 85% of Hays County homes sold for less than their original asking price. This figure represents 275 of the 322 closed sales recorded across the county during the month. The median sale price was $372,495, a 4.9% increase from August but still below the initial list price in most cases.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed listing history to identify which subdivisions saw the most frequent price reductions. Sunfield and Kissing Tree led the county with 100% of their closed sales occurring after a price cut. Heritage followed closely, with 90% of its 10 closed transactions involving a reduced price.
The data shows that while prices are rising compared to last year, sellers are increasingly adjusting expectations to close deals. The median days on market rose to 56 days, up 9.8% from August, suggesting buyers have more leverage to negotiate below the list price. This trend is consistent across most subdivisions, with only Big Sky Ranch and Persimmon seeing fewer than 40% of sales require a price reduction.
For sellers, this indicates that pricing accurately at launch remains critical. For buyers, the high rate of reductions suggests opportunities to negotiate further, particularly in Sunfield and Kissing Tree where every sale involved a cut. The market is shifting toward a more balanced environment where list prices are no longer final.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=322
Cover photo: Blanco River, Hays County ("Hays - Hill Country 1") by CMBJ, CC BY-SA 2.5, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov











