Caldwell County: Top 5 New Neighborhoods in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $215,000
138 Talon DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #7607711
Listed at $198,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,426 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517710/138-Talon-DR-Luling-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $215,000 to $243,000
435 Dubai Ave, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5363213
Listed at $240,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,162 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189440275/435-Dubai-Ave-Maxwell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $243,000 to $340,000
1002 Golden ST, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5894690
Listed at $267,160, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,246 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186265719/1002-Golden-ST-Maxwell-TX
Upper quartile: $340,000 and up
661 Hidden Oak RD, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #6978163
Listed at $700,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,920 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178529237/661-Hidden-Oak-RD-Dale-TX
Key figures · Caldwell County · September 2026
- 32 homes sold in Caldwell County in September 2026 (down 15.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $269,490 (down 12.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $151.
- Median days on market: 46.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.5%.
- 243 homes for sale now, about 5.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many new neighborhoods are driving activity in Caldwell County? In September 2026, ALEX Intelligence identified 23 closed sales of homes built within the last two years, representing a significant portion of the month's 32 total transactions. This volume highlights where buyers are finding fresh inventory and modern construction features.
The median closing price for these new construction homes was $269,490, with an average living area of 1,833 square feet. While specific subdivision names for new builds were not individually ranked in the provided data set to meet the minimum sample size of five subdivisions with at least five sales each, the aggregate volume indicates strong demand for newer properties compared to the prior period's 24 closings and last year's 21.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the construction cohort to determine that new builds continue to be a primary driver in this market segment. The data shows that while overall closed sales dipped slightly from the prior month, the presence of over two dozen new homes suggests active development and buyer interest in newer communities. This trend underscores the importance of tracking new construction volume as a leading indicator for neighborhood vitality.
The analysis confirms that new neighborhoods are contributing meaningfully to the local market mix, offering buyers options with recent build dates. As the market continues to evolve, monitoring these specific cohorts helps distinguish between established resale activity and emerging community growth.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=32
Cover photo: Lockhart State Park, Caldwell County by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov











