Caldwell County: When Is the Best Month to List?

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 138 Talon DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #7607711 · Listed by Land Unlimited. ALEX valuation $209,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $215,000 138 Talon DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #7607711 Listed at $198,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,426 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517710/138-Talon-DR-Luling-TX Lower-middle quartile: $215,000 to $243,000 435 Dubai Ave, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5363213 Listed at $240,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,162 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189440275/435-Dubai-Ave-Maxwell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $243,000 to $340,000 1002 Golden ST, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #5894690 Listed at $267,160, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,246 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186265719/1002-Golden-ST-Maxwell-TX Upper quartile: $340,000 and up 661 Hidden Oak RD, Dale TX 78616 · MLS #6978163 Listed at $700,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,920 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178529237/661-Hidden-Oak-RD-Dale-TX

Key figures · Caldwell County · September 2026

32 homes sold in Caldwell County in September 2026 (down 15.8% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $269,490 (down 12.2% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $151.

Median days on market: 46.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.5%.

243 homes for sale now, about 5.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Why does listing timing matter in Caldwell County? A look at 24 months of data reveals a distinct seasonal pattern where activity and prices fluctuate significantly by month. ALEX Intelligence analyzed monthly closed sales from October 2024 through September 2026 to identify the optimal time to list. The data shows that March is historically the strongest month for volume, with 39 sales recorded in March 2026 and 34 in March 2025. This spring surge contrasts sharply with October, which saw only 19 sales in 2025 and just 32 in September 2026, a 15.8% drop compared to the prior year. Price trends also follow a seasonal curve. Median prices peaked in March at $328,490 in 2025, while August 2025 saw a sharp dip to $227,750. The current market reflects this volatility; September median prices rose 2.3% from the prior month but remain 12.2% below the same period last year. For sellers, the data suggests that listing in late winter or early spring aligns with higher buyer activity and stronger price performance. Conversely, late summer and autumn months show reduced transaction volumes. This seasonal decomposition highlights that while market conditions vary, the historical rhythm of the Caldwell County market remains a key factor for timing a sale. The analysis is based on 32 closed sales in September 2026, with a rolling 24-month window used to establish the seasonal baseline. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951