Dallas-Fort Worth MSA
2026-10-17
The Dallas-Fort Worth MSA’s migration momentum is reversing — and the data reveals who's driving the shift. According to ALEX Intelligence’s latest analysis, the region experienced a net decline of 9,723 households in migration between 2021-22 and 2022-23, signaling a structural shift in population dynamics. This data, drawn from U.S. Internal Revenue Service migration flows, shows that Cooke County, TX, leads the reversal, followed by Grayson and Palo Pinto counties — suggesting that the DFW MSA’s internal migration engine is weakening. The decline in inflows from Florida and Virginia also indicates that external migration is plateauing. This is not a temporary dip, but a sign of long-term recalibration. How will developers and investors adapt?
Photos via Wikimedia Commons: Slide 1: DerekAyala27 (CC BY 4.0) https://commons.wikimedia.org/?curid=145418881; Slide 2: Michael Barera (CC BY-SA 4.0) https://commons.wikimedia.org/?curid=79706094; Slide 3: Michael Barera (CC BY-SA 4.0) https://commons.wikimedia.org/?curid=41394199; Slide 4: Michael Barera (CC BY-SA 4.0) https://commons.wikimedia.org/?curid=44214708
Year-Over-Year Change in Net Migration, top 10 (ALEX Intelligence — U.S. Internal Revenue Service 2023)
#1 Cooke County, TX — 146
#2 Grayson County, TX — 141
#3 Volusia County, FL — 138
#4 Palo Pinto County, TX — 128
#5 Van Zandt County, TX — 108
#6 El Paso County, TX — 107
#7 Lee County, FL — 106
#8 Montague County, TX — 106
#9 Hopkins County, TX — 104
#10 Virginia Beach city, VA — 98
Source: https://alex-companies.com/data/2026-10-17-dfw-msa-mig-trend-net
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Diane Hart Alexander, MBA, MHA
Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies
Designated Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574877-B · Broker License #565194-BB
[email protected] · +1 713.591.9902
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov