Siena Market Heat Score: Speed and Price Power in November

Deal of the Week

5756 Bellissima WAY, Round Rock TX 78665
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $352,000 5756 Bellissima WAY, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #2230375 Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,997 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191545761/5756-Bellissima-WAY-Round-Rock-TX Lower-middle quartile: $352,000 to $389,000 7924 Castelardo PL, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #6989392 Listed at $379,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,327 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189863892/7924-Castelardo-PL-Round-Rock-TX Upper-middle quartile: $389,000 to $431,000 5801 Parma ST, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #9991953 Listed at $399,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,383 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185455043/5801-Parma-ST-Round-Rock-TX Upper quartile: $431,000 and up 6711 Calabria DR, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #9531045 Listed at $450,000, 5 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,804 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190313358/6711-Calabria-DR-Round-Rock-TX

Key figures · Siena · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

How fast is the Siena market moving compared to six months ago? The answer lies in a sharp drop in days on market, which fell from 50 days to 27 days across 61 closed sales. This surge in velocity is a key component of the ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score, a composite index that blends speed, price strength, and inventory levels into a single metric ranging from 0 to 100. In this rolling six-month window ending October 31, 2026, Siena demonstrates significant momentum. The median close-to-original list ratio climbed to 96.9%, up 1.9% from the prior period and 2.2% higher than the same window last year. This indicates that sellers are recovering more of their asking price even as the market remains competitive. Simultaneously, the share of homes selling below original list dropped slightly, reflecting a tighter balance between supply and demand. The heat score calculation weighs these factors heavily against the current inventory level of 37 active listings, which translates to roughly 3.6 months of supply. While this is not a seller's market in the extreme sense, the rapid turnover suggests strong buyer urgency. The median price held steady at $392,000, despite a slight year-over-year dip of 4.1%, showing resilience against broader economic headwinds. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.18% as of November 5, 2026, according to Freddie Mac. Even with this rate environment, the market activity in Siena remains robust, driven by a high volume of sales relative to inventory. The ALEX Intelligence model assigns a higher heat score here than in surrounding areas where turnover is slower, signaling that Siena properties are moving faster than the regional average of 65 days on market. This data-driven assessment confirms that Siena is currently experiencing a period of heightened activity, characterized by quick sales and strong price retention. Buyers should note that while prices have not surged, the speed at which homes are leaving the market suggests limited opportunities for prolonged negotiation. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=61
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov