Siena Market Pulse: Prices Rise as Sales Speed Up

Deal of the Week

7932 Castelardo PL, Round Rock TX 78665
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $351,000 7932 Castelardo PL, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #5449663 Listed at $269,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,567 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185134844/7932-Castelardo-PL-Round-Rock-TX Lower-middle quartile: $351,000 to $389,000 5809 Bellissima WAY, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #9964928 Listed at $370,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,950 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183013917/5809-Bellissima-WAY-Round-Rock-TX Upper-middle quartile: $389,000 to $434,000 5729 Porano CIR, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #8779530 Listed at $420,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,703 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179982559/5729-Porano-CIR-Round-Rock-TX Upper quartile: $434,000 and up 6901 Leonardo DR, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #4179923 Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,751 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182746272/6901-Leonardo-DR-Round-Rock-TX

Key figures · Siena · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does a 5.3% jump in median home prices mean for Siena buyers and sellers right now? Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the median close price reached $400,000 across 65 closed sales, up from $380,000 in the prior period. This increase coincides with a dramatic shift in market speed, as the median days on market dropped to just 26 days, down 67.1% from the previous six months when homes sat for an average of 79 days. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics to show that while prices are climbing, negotiation leverage is tightening. The median close-to-original list ratio improved to 0.965, indicating buyers are paying closer to asking price than in the prior period when the ratio was 0.95. Despite this momentum, 81.5% of homes still sold below their original list price, a figure that has remained relatively stable compared to the prior period. The data also reveals a change in the type of homes moving through Siena. The median living area for closed sales grew to 2,344 square feet, an increase of 12.8% over the prior six months. This suggests buyers are currently favoring larger floor plans, even as the price per square foot dipped slightly by 5.4% to $175. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.32%, according to Freddie Mac data from late October, which influences affordability calculations for these larger properties. While the market is moving faster and prices are higher than in the prior six-month window, the median price remains 2.4% below the level seen in the same period last year. This indicates a market that has recovered significant ground but has not yet fully returned to its peak valuation levels from late 2025. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=65
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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