| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Mayfield Ranch: October Market Recap and Outlook
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-05
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $474,000
832 Whitetail DR, Round Rock TX 78681 · MLS #1491003
Listed at $425,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,835 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188517561/832-Whitetail-DR-Round-Rock-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $474,000 to $540,000
268 Fort Cobb WAY, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #3542766
Listed at $489,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,384 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187539420/268-Fort-Cobb-WAY-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $540,000 to $650,000
104 Lake Mineral Wells DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #8050403
Listed at $567,500, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,073 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189821738/104-Lake-Mineral-Wells-DR-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $650,000 and up
104 Cross Timbers DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1190671
Listed at $685,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,361 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189321900/104-Cross-Timbers-DR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Mayfield Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 53 homes sold in Mayfield Ranch in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 15.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $555,000 (up 3.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $209.
- Median days on market: 26.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.5%.
- 32 homes for sale now, about 3.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Mayfield Ranch saw median prices climb to $555,000 across 53 closed sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This represents a 5.7% increase compared to the prior six-month period and a 3.7% rise year-over-year. The market also tightened significantly, with median days on market dropping 44.7% to just 26 days, while homes sold at 96.5% of their original list price.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply dynamics alongside these sales figures. Active inventory stands at 32 homes, creating a 3.6-month supply of inventory based on current closing rates. This level indicates a balanced market where buyers and sellers have relatively equal leverage. The median home size sold in this period was 2,606 square feet, which is 9.8% smaller than the prior six months, suggesting a shift toward slightly more compact floor plans or different lot configurations.
Price per square foot also increased by 2.5% to $209, outpacing the regional average of $205. While 83% of homes sold below their original list price, this share is down from the prior period, indicating that sellers are retaining more pricing power than they did six months ago. The data reflects a market where demand remains steady despite higher mortgage rates, with buyers adjusting to current conditions rather than retreating entirely.
Current mortgage rates stand at 7.24% according to Freddie Mac data for the week of October 29, 2026. For a buyer purchasing a median-priced home in Mayfield Ranch, a 3-2-1 buydown could reduce the initial monthly principal and interest payment by $844 in the first year, at a total cost of roughly $20,592 or 3.71% of the sale price.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=53
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










