| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Santa Rita Ranch Market Heat Score: October 2026
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-13
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $436,000
500 Inspiration DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #4747900
Listed at $419,998, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,290 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183176198/500-Inspiration-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $436,000 to $545,000
516 Palatino BND, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #7356619
Listed at $529,990, 5 bed, 4 bath, 2,881 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176535711/516-Palatino-BND-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $545,000 to $678,000
613 Castillo BND, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #6598141
Listed at $599,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,643 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184322822/613-Castillo-BND-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $678,000 and up
113 Oswalt WAY, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #4508798
Listed at $1,024,900, 5 bed, 5.5 bath, 5,240 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183352706/113-Oswalt-WAY-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Santa Rita Ranch · October 2026
- 35 homes sold in Santa Rita Ranch in October 2026 (down 16.7% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $575,000 (up 4.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $193.
- Median days on market: 90.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 87.5%.
- 191 homes for sale now, about 4.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a composite market heat score indicate for buyers and sellers in Santa Rita Ranch? The ALEX Intelligence model combines four key metrics—median days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reduction frequency—to gauge current momentum. In October, the area posted a median of 90 days on market with 191 active listings, creating a balanced but cautious environment where buyers have time to negotiate.
The score reflects a distinct shift from the previous month. While the median close price climbed 7.5% to $575,000 across 35 closed sales, the share of homes selling below original list price dropped significantly, with only 82.9% of deals closing under asking compared to 94.3% in September. This suggests that while prices are rising, sellers are still adjusting expectations, as evidenced by the median close-to-original-list ratio falling to 87.5%.
Inventory remains a critical factor, with 4.4 months of supply indicating a neutral market rather than a seller's frenzy. The ALEX Intelligence model weights these factors equally to produce a heat score that contextualizes the 7.5% price increase against the slower sales velocity and persistent inventory levels. For this community, the data indicates a market where value is being found by those who can navigate the current balance between rising prices and extended selling times.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, October 2026, n=35
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










