| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Lariat: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $390,000
433 Carr DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2682213
Listed at $309,375, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,964 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186959414/433-Carr-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $390,000 to $461,000
125 Green Brush DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #9710078
Listed at $409,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188377050/125-Green-Brush-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $461,000 to $577,000
205 Rightfield DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1243744
Listed at $499,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,942 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180968723/205-Rightfield-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $577,000 and up
404 Sheepdog DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #5474601
Listed at $674,967, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,830 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176146361/404-Sheepdog-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Lariat · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 110 homes sold in Lariat in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 41.0% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $443,594 (down 6.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $178.
- Median days on market: 70.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.7%.
- 104 homes for sale now, about 5.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is a market with nearly six months of inventory favorable for buyers or sellers? In Lariat, the answer is leaning toward buyers. With 5.67 months of inventory calculated from 110 closed sales over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, supply now exceeds the pace of demand.
Months of inventory measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales rate. A figure near 5.67 indicates a shift away from the tight seller's markets seen in previous years. This is confirmed by price data: the median close price dropped 0.7% compared to the prior six-month period and fell 6.1% year-over-year, settling at $443,594 across 110 sales.
Buyers also see more leverage on price negotiations. The median close-to-original list ratio improved by 4.6% versus the prior period, reaching 91.7%. This means sellers are accepting offers closer to their original asking prices less often than before, with 90% of homes selling below their initial list price.
While days on market have shortened significantly compared to last year, the overall inventory level suggests buyers have more time to choose and negotiate. ALEX Intelligence analyzes this balance to determine market conditions: at 5.67 months, Lariat is currently classified as a buyer's market.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=110
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










