Lariat Market Pulse: Prices Dip as Sales Speed Up

Deal of the Week

433 Carr DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $390,000 433 Carr DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2682213 Listed at $309,375, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,964 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186959414/433-Carr-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $390,000 to $461,000 125 Green Brush DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #9710078 Listed at $409,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188377050/125-Green-Brush-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $461,000 to $577,000 205 Rightfield DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1243744 Listed at $499,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,942 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180968723/205-Rightfield-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $577,000 and up 404 Sheepdog DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #5474601 Listed at $674,967, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,830 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176146361/404-Sheepdog-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Lariat · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does a 6.1% drop in median prices mean for buyers and sellers in Lariat right now? The data from the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, shows a distinct shift where homes are selling faster even as values adjust downward compared to last year. Across 110 closed sales, the median close price settled at $443,594, down from $472,250 during the same period last year. This represents a 6.1% decline year-over-year and a slight 0.7% dip compared to the prior six-month window. Despite lower prices, market velocity has improved significantly; the median days on market dropped to 70 days, down from 98 days in the prior period. Buyers are also seeing more favorable terms. The median close-to-original list ratio rose to 0.917, up 4.6% from the prior period, indicating homes are closing closer to their original asking prices than they did six months ago. However, 90% of sales still closed below the original list price, a figure that is 37.6% higher year-over-year as sellers adjust expectations. The median price per square foot currently stands at $178.17, up 1.4% from the prior period but down 6.2% from last year. With 101 active listings and a months of inventory reading of 5.51, the market remains in a balanced state where supply meets demand without extreme pressure on either side. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these KPIs to provide a clear snapshot of current conditions. The data reflects a market that is correcting prices while maintaining steady transaction volume. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=110
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov