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Lariat Market Pulse: Prices Dip as Sales Speed Up
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $390,000
437 Carr DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1951656
Listed at $289,715, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,801 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188566749/437-Carr-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $390,000 to $462,000
101 Gary Wayne DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2954475
Listed at $425,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,954 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185612506/101-Gary-Wayne-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $462,000 to $587,000
109 Statue DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #4859673
Listed at $569,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,252 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179707346/109-Statue-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $587,000 and up
308 Smoke Signal DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3847744
Listed at $619,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,612 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185350176/308-Smoke-Signal-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Lariat · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 121 homes sold in Lariat in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 57.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $460,350 (up 2.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $184.
- Median days on market: 64.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.2%.
- 95 homes for sale now, about 4.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Median home prices in Lariat dipped slightly to $460,350 across 121 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, down 2.3% from the prior six-month period. Despite the price adjustment, homes are selling significantly faster, with the median days on market falling 31.9% to just 64 days compared to 94 days previously.
The speed of sales suggests strong demand even as prices cool slightly. The median close-to-original list ratio improved to 0.922, up 3.4% from the prior period, indicating buyers are getting closer to asking prices than they were six months ago. However, 89.3% of homes still sold below their original list price, a share that rose 4.2% compared to the previous window.
Price per square foot ticked up 1.7% to $184, while the median living area shrank slightly by 1.7% to 2,592 square feet. Year-over-year, prices are up 2.3%, but price per square foot is down 4.2%. With 95 active listings and a 4.6-month supply of inventory, the market remains balanced between buyer and seller leverage.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed these metrics to highlight how quickly homes are moving despite modest price corrections. The data reflects a market where speed is increasing even as prices stabilize.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=121
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










