Lariat Market Recap: Sales Up, Prices Dip in Rolling Six Months

How does a market behave when sales volume surges while prices retreat? In Lariat, the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, tell that story clearly. A total of 121 homes closed, representing a significant jump from the 98 sales in the prior six-month window and well above the 77 closings recorded in the same period last year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing trends across these transactions to determine what is driving value. The median close price settled at $460,350, which is down 2.3% compared to the previous six months but remains 2.3% higher than the same window a year ago. This divergence suggests that while more homes are moving, competitive pressure has softened slightly, allowing buyers to negotiate closer to original list prices. The speed of sales also improved noticeably. The median days on market dropped to 64 days, a 31.9% decrease from the prior period and 19.0% faster than last year. Homes are selling quicker now, even as the median close-to-original list ratio rose to 0.922, indicating sellers are accepting offers slightly closer to their asking prices than before. Inventory remains a key factor, with 4.63 months of supply currently available. This level suggests a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold absolute leverage. With 114 new listings entering the pipeline during this period and 95 active homes today, the market is absorbing new supply efficiently. The median price per square foot rose to $184, reflecting a slight shift in the mix of home sizes sold, as the median living area dipped slightly to 2,592 square feet. Overall, Lariat demonstrates resilience with robust sales activity despite modest price adjustments. Buyers benefit from faster turnover and improved negotiation leverage, while sellers continue to see steady demand in this active community. Curious what your Lariat home would sell for today? Request a free ALEX Intelligence valuation. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951