Liberty Hill: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells in September

Deal of the Week

104 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $381,000 104 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3410337 Listed at $364,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,585 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186873111/104-Windfall-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $381,000 to $503,000 116 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3758738 Listed at $457,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183157823/116-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $503,000 to $675,000 531 Great Lawn BND, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #5138007 Listed at $645,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,765 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184839494/531-Great-Lawn-BND-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $675,000 and up 117 Oswalt WAY, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2953682 Listed at $989,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,891 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172845406/117-Oswalt-WAY-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Liberty Hill market figures and ALEX agents

In Liberty Hill, the gap between asking price and final sale price widened slightly in September. Across 88 closed sales, homes sold for a median of $472,400, which represents 91.2% of the original list price. This is down from 91.9% in August and compares to 90.7% during the same month last year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices, final negotiated lists, and closing prices to determine this trend. The median close-to-original-list ratio of 0.912 indicates that while most homes still sell near their initial asking price, buyers are securing slightly more concessions than they did a month ago. In August, the median close-to-original-list ratio was 0.919, and in September 2025 it stood at 0.907. The data shows that 86.4% of homes sold below their original list price, up from 85.9% in the prior month. This suggests a shift where sellers are adjusting expectations to match current market conditions. The median price per square foot remained steady at $199, matching August and rising 5.3% compared to September 2025. While the median sale price of $472,400 is down 7.3% from August's $509,858, it remains 5.8% higher than the $446,580 recorded in September 2025. The average days on market increased to 76 days, up 8.6% from the prior month but down 15.6% compared to last year. These figures reflect a market where price negotiations are becoming more active as inventory levels adjust. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=88
Cover photo: Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill ("Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill, Texas (8636273076)") by Nicolas Henderson from Coppell, Texas, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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