Liberty Hill Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

104 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $381,000 104 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3410337 Listed at $364,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,585 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186873111/104-Windfall-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $381,000 to $503,000 116 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3758738 Listed at $457,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183157823/116-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $503,000 to $675,000 531 Great Lawn BND, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #5138007 Listed at $645,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,765 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184839494/531-Great-Lawn-BND-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $675,000 and up 117 Oswalt WAY, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2953682 Listed at $989,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,891 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172845406/117-Oswalt-WAY-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Liberty Hill market figures and ALEX agents

What does it cost to buy an entry-level home in Liberty Hill today? The bottom quartile of the market closed at a median price of $472,400 across 88 sales in September 2026. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in the city for buyers seeking a primary residence. ALEX Intelligence applied an affordability model using the current mortgage rate of 7.32% to estimate monthly payments for these homes. The buydown analysis uses a loan amount of $377,920 at a note rate of 7.32%, resulting in a principal and interest payment of $2,596 per month. This calculation reflects the cost of borrowing at the prevailing market rate without including taxes or insurance. The data shows that while prices in this tier have risen 5.8% compared to September 2025, the number of closed sales increased by 18.9%. This suggests that despite higher rates, demand for entry-level properties remains active. The median price per square foot for these homes sits at $199, consistent with the prior month but up 5.3% year-over-year. Buyers in this segment should note that 76% of entry-level listings sold below their original asking price. This indicates that negotiation is still a viable strategy for those entering the market at the lower end of the price spectrum. The median home size for these transactions was 2,557 square feet, slightly smaller than the previous month but larger than the same period last year. This analysis focuses strictly on the financial mechanics of entry-level purchases and does not predict future price movements or individual property values. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB
Broker · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456
Broker · Alabama License #000178406
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas.
Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog.
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=88
Cover photo: Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill ("Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill, Texas (8636273076)") by Nicolas Henderson from Coppell, Texas, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov