| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Liberty Hill Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $381,000
104 Windfall TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3410337
Listed at $364,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,585 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186873111/104-Windfall-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $381,000 to $503,000
116 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #3758738
Listed at $457,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183157823/116-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $503,000 to $675,000
531 Great Lawn BND, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #5138007
Listed at $645,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,765 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184839494/531-Great-Lawn-BND-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $675,000 and up
117 Oswalt WAY, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2953682
Listed at $989,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,891 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172845406/117-Oswalt-WAY-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026
- 88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $199.
- Median days on market: 76.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.
- 498 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it cost to buy an entry-level home in Liberty Hill today? The bottom quartile of the market closed at a median price of $472,400 across 88 sales in September 2026. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in the city for buyers seeking a primary residence.
ALEX Intelligence applied an affordability model using the current mortgage rate of 7.32% to estimate monthly payments for these homes. The buydown analysis uses a loan amount of $377,920 at a note rate of 7.32%, resulting in a principal and interest payment of $2,596 per month. This calculation reflects the cost of borrowing at the prevailing market rate without including taxes or insurance.
The data shows that while prices in this tier have risen 5.8% compared to September 2025, the number of closed sales increased by 18.9%. This suggests that despite higher rates, demand for entry-level properties remains active. The median price per square foot for these homes sits at $199, consistent with the prior month but up 5.3% year-over-year.
Buyers in this segment should note that 76% of entry-level listings sold below their original asking price. This indicates that negotiation is still a viable strategy for those entering the market at the lower end of the price spectrum. The median home size for these transactions was 2,557 square feet, slightly smaller than the previous month but larger than the same period last year.
This analysis focuses strictly on the financial mechanics of entry-level purchases and does not predict future price movements or individual property values.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=88
Cover photo: Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill ("Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill, Texas (8636273076)") by Nicolas Henderson from Coppell, Texas, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










