Liberty Hill: New Listings vs. Closings Show Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 · Listed by Opendoor Brokerage, LLC. ALEX valuation $362,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $379,000 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 Listed at $330,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,107 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186817379/125-High-Valley-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $379,000 to $500,000 191 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8928560 Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182995890/191-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $675,000 301 Yaklin DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8632660 Listed at $669,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,622 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164190770/301-Yaklin-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $675,000 and up 112 Mescalero, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1043163 Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,984 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185140853/112-Mescalero-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026

88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $199.

Median days on market: 76.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.

497 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

In September, Liberty Hill saw 82 new listings join the market while 88 homes completed their sale. This near-balance between new supply and demand marks a shift from the tighter inventory seen earlier in the year. The data reflects a rolling 12-month window of 88 closed sales, providing a stable baseline for this month's activity. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify the supply gap. When new listings exceed closings, inventory builds; when closings outpace new supply, homes sell faster. Here, the 82 new listings slightly trailed the 88 closed sales, suggesting a market that is stabilizing rather than expanding rapidly. Compared to August, where 74 new listings met 91 closings, September's figures show a slight uptick in both categories. The median price for these 88 sales settled at $472,400, down 8% from the prior month but up 5.8% year-over-year. This indicates that while prices are adjusting, the volume of activity remains robust enough to absorb new inventory without a significant backlog. The months of inventory currently stand at 4.83, calculated from 497 active listings against the trailing monthly average. This level suggests a balanced market where buyers have choices but sellers still command attention. The supply gap is narrowing, offering a more predictable environment for both parties entering the fall season. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951