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Summerlyn Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $311,000
100 Magpie Goose LN, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #9864777
Listed at $305,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,051 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186796415/100-Magpie-Goose-LN-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $311,000 to $340,000
348 King Elder LN, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #7098059
Listed at $335,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,610 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189488953/348-King-Elder-LN-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $370,000 and up
188 Green Egret WAY, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8469767
Listed at $380,000, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,757 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 29% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190442071/188-Green-Egret-WAY-Leander-TX
Key figures · Summerlyn · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 37 homes sold in Summerlyn in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 32.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $339,000 (up 0.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $157.
- Median days on market: 19.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 98.4%.
- 15 homes for sale now, about 2.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Can buyers afford the median home in Summerlyn today? The median closing price for entry-level properties sits at $339,000 across 37 closed sales over the last six months. With a current mortgage rate of 7.32% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the monthly principal and interest payment on a standard 20% down payment is approximately $1,863.
ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability model to these figures. This calculation compares the required monthly housing cost against the median home price to gauge purchasing power for first-time buyers or those seeking entry-level inventory. At this price point and rate, the baseline monthly obligation remains significant, though it is slightly lower than the $1,863 figure would suggest if a buydown were utilized.
The market shows resilience with a median of 19 days on market, down 20.8% from the same period last year. However, price per square foot has dipped to $157, reflecting a 9.8% decrease compared to last year. This suggests that while homes are selling faster, the entry-level segment is experiencing some softness in valuation relative to size.
Buyers should note that 70.3% of these sales closed below the original list price, indicating room for negotiation even in this active window. The median living area has grown to 2,213 square feet, offering more space than the 1,928 square feet seen a year ago. This combination of lower prices per foot and larger homes presents a specific value profile for those entering the Summerlyn market now.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=37
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










