| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Palmera Ridge New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $630,000
2208 Bonavista WAY, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #7911467
Listed at $550,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,787 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186895580/2208-Bonavista-WAY-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $630,000 to $770,000
2520 Carretera DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3063804
Listed at $724,990, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,381 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1171672331/2520-Carretera-DR-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $770,000 to $875,000
1404 Jolie Rose BND, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #1876277
Listed at $824,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,435 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185353844/1404-Jolie-Rose-BND-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $875,000 and up
1332 Jolie Rose BND, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6797194
Listed at $969,900, 5 bed, 6 bath, 4,347 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520184/1332-Jolie-Rose-BND-Leander-TX
Key figures · Palmera Ridge · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 32 homes sold in Palmera Ridge in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 100.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $755,000 (up 30.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $218.
- Median days on market: 197.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 88.8%.
- 32 homes for sale now, about 5.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Palmera Ridge saw a sharp shift in its supply balance over the last six months. New listings reached 42 homes, up from 22 in the prior period, while closed sales dropped to 32, down from 39. This divergence has created a widening gap between new inventory arriving and homes actually selling.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of supply and demand events to highlight this shift. The influx of new listings outpaced the rate of closings, suggesting that buyer activity is not keeping pace with the volume of homes entering the market. While 42 new properties were added, only 32 transactions closed in the same window.
The median close price for these 32 sales was $755,000, down 2.6% from the prior period. Meanwhile, the median days on market increased by 10.1%, indicating that homes are taking longer to sell despite the higher supply. This data reflects a market where new inventory is accumulating faster than it is being absorbed by buyers.
The sample size for this analysis includes 32 closed sales and 42 new listings over the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026. The trend suggests a move toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable environment as supply grows relative to demand.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=32 closed, n=42 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










