| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Bar W Ranch: New Listings vs. Closings Show Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-11
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $375,000
1957 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #2593745
Listed at $374,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,473 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187173103/1957-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $375,000 to $404,000
2532 Whittler RD, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #9905467
Listed at $387,190, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,098 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185331040/2532-Whittler-RD-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $404,000 to $427,000
1813 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #2343028
Listed at $424,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,536 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185364762/1813-Dandy-Brush-DR-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $427,000 and up
2444 Tumbleweed BND, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #1546516
Listed at $530,490, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,956 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187219053/2444-Tumbleweed-BND-Leander-TX
Key figures · Bar W Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 46 homes sold in Bar W Ranch in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 13.2% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $398,800 (up 6.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 38.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 98.9%.
- 39 homes for sale now, about 5.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Bar W Ranch, the balance between new supply and buyer demand shifted over the last six months as new listings outpaced closings. A total of 59 homes were added to the market while 46 closed sales were recorded in the rolling window ending October 31, 2026. This creates a visible gap where fresh inventory is entering faster than transactions are completing.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this supply dynamic. The data shows that while 59 new homes hit the market, only 46 sales finalized in the same period. This divergence suggests a temporary accumulation of active inventory relative to the pace of closed deals.
The median close price for these 46 transactions was $398,800, with a median price per square foot of $182.36. Homes spent an average of 38 days on market before closing. Compared to the prior six-month period, the number of new listings dropped significantly from 96 to 59, while closed sales remained relatively stable at 46 versus 43 previously. This reduction in new supply helps narrow the gap compared to earlier in the year, though the current flow still exceeds the closing rate.
The median close-to-original list ratio stood at 0.989, indicating that homes are selling very close to their original asking prices despite the inventory buildup. With 39 active listings currently on the market and a months of inventory figure of 5.09, the market is absorbing new supply at a steady but not rapid pace. This data-driven view highlights how listing velocity and closing rates interact to define local market conditions without predicting future price movements.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS new listing and closed-sale activity, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=46 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










