Bar W Ranch Market Heat Score: Rising Prices, Slower Sales

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 2504 INDIAN CLOVER TRL, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #2794408 · Listed by Keller Williams Realty. ALEX valuation $373,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $376,000 2504 INDIAN CLOVER TRL, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #2794408 Listed at $365,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,092 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189622906/2504-INDIAN-CLOVER-TRL-Leander-TX Lower-middle quartile: $376,000 to $404,000 1921 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #7426932 Listed at $376,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,223 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182905168/1921-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX Upper-middle quartile: $404,000 to $421,000 1852 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #7657626 Listed at $420,430, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,536 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190683869/4303-Childress-ST-Houston-TX Upper quartile: $421,000 and up 1809 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #4022895 Listed at $422,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,783 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185333595/1809-Dandy-Brush-DR-Leander-TX

Key figures · Bar W Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

44 homes sold in Bar W Ranch in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 13.7% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $406,490 (up 7.0% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $184.

Median days on market: 38.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 98.9%.

35 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Bar W Ranch is showing a distinct shift in its market dynamics as the rolling six-month period ends. While median sale prices climbed to $406,490, representing a 7% increase compared to the same window last year, homes are staying on the market longer. The median days on market rose to 38 days, up 26.7% from the prior year and 15.2% higher than the previous six-month period. ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score for this community by weighing four key indicators: days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The score reflects a transition where pricing power remains strong but buyer caution is extending the sales cycle. The median close-to-original list ratio improved to 0.989, up 5.3% from the prior period, suggesting that while homes take longer to sell, those that do move are closing closer to their original asking prices compared to earlier in the year. Only 32 of the 44 closed sales occurred in the primary BAR W RANCH subdivision, with a median price of $404,990 and a median DOM of 32.5 days. Inventory remains tight with 35 active listings against 44 closings over six months, creating a 4.77-month supply. This level indicates a balanced market leaning slightly toward sellers, though the extended time on market suggests buyers have more negotiating leverage than in previous quarters. The data reflects a community where new construction continues to drive volume, with 34 of the 44 closed sales being newly built homes. The calculated heat score for Bar W Ranch stands at 62 out of 100, indicating moderate activity driven by price appreciation despite slower turnover. This estimate is based on Unlock MLS data and represents a snapshot of current market conditions, not a prediction of future performance. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC

Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

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