| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Bar W Ranch Market Heat Score: How It Compares to Neighbors
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-30
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $376,000
1952 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6535568
Listed at $373,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,223 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182905170/1952-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $376,000 to $405,000
1941 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3728414
Listed at $390,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,473 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182882865/1941-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $405,000 to $423,000
2528 Whittler RD, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #4694580
Listed at $416,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,536 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185332275/2528-Whittler-RD-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $423,000 and up
1833 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8559922
Listed at $423,190, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,783 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185335833/1833-Dandy-Brush-DR-Leander-TX
Key figures · Bar W Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 47 homes sold in Bar W Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 2.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $409,078 (up 5.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 37.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 99.2%.
- 37 homes for sale now, about 4.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How does a single subdivision stack up against its broader region? Bar W Ranch posted a median close price of $409,078 across 47 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, which is 5.5% higher than the same period last year and 4.7% above the prior six-month window.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score for Bar W Ranch by combining four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reduction frequency. The resulting assessment reflects a balanced market leaning slightly toward sellers, as homes are selling faster than the regional average while prices remain resilient.
The subdivision's median days on market stood at 37 days, up 15.6% from the prior period but still significantly lower than the Williamson County and regional averages of 56 days. The median close-to-original list ratio reached 0.992, a notable improvement over the prior period's 0.911, indicating buyers are paying closer to asking prices now.
Inventory remains tight with 37 active listings against 47 closed sales in the last six months, resulting in roughly 4.6 months of supply. This level of inventory supports stable pricing, as evidenced by the median price per square foot rising 1.1% year-over-year to $183. The data reflects a community where demand continues to outpace new supply, keeping momentum strong despite broader regional shifts.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and activity data, rolling six months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=47
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










