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Bar W Ranch: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-22
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $376,000
1952 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6535568
Listed at $373,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,223 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182905170/1952-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $376,000 to $405,000
1941 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3728414
Listed at $390,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,473 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182882865/1941-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $405,000 to $423,000
2528 Whittler RD, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #4694580
Listed at $416,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,536 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185332275/2528-Whittler-RD-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $423,000 and up
1833 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8559922
Listed at $423,190, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,783 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185335833/1833-Dandy-Brush-DR-Leander-TX
Key figures · Bar W Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 47 homes sold in Bar W Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 2.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $409,078 (up 5.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 37.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 99.2%.
- 37 homes for sale now, about 4.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Bar W Ranch, the supply of homes for sale is growing faster than demand is absorbing them. Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, 56 new listings entered the market while only 47 homes successfully closed. This gap between fresh inventory and completed sales creates a dynamic where buyers have more options to choose from compared to earlier periods.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand balance by comparing the count of new listings against the number of closed transactions. The data shows that the volume of new listings exceeded the volume of closed sales during this window. This shift suggests a transition toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable environment compared to the tight conditions seen in previous years.
The median price for these 47 closed sales rose 4.7% from the prior six-month period to $409,078, while the average home size increased by 7.3% to 2,264 square feet. Despite the higher prices and larger homes, the influx of new listings has prevented a rapid depletion of stock. With 56 new properties listed against 47 closings, the market is accumulating inventory rather than depleting it.
This supply gap indicates that sellers may face more competition as the number of available homes grows relative to the pace of sales. Buyers entering this market now have a wider selection of properties to evaluate without the intense pressure of bidding wars that characterized periods where listings were fewer than closings. The trend highlights how new construction and resales are currently outpacing the absorption rate in this specific community.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=47 closed sales and 56 new listings
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










