| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Bar W Ranch Inventory Signals a Shift to Buyers
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $376,000
1952 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6535568
Listed at $373,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,223 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182905170/1952-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $376,000 to $405,000
1941 Arbuckle DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #3728414
Listed at $390,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,473 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182882865/1941-Arbuckle-DR-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $405,000 to $423,000
2528 Whittler RD, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #4694580
Listed at $416,190, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,536 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185332275/2528-Whittler-RD-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $423,000 and up
1833 Dandy Brush DR, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8559922
Listed at $423,190, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,783 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185335833/1833-Dandy-Brush-DR-Leander-TX
Key figures · Bar W Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 47 homes sold in Bar W Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 2.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $409,078 (up 5.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 37.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 99.2%.
- 37 homes for sale now, about 4.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is Bar W Ranch moving toward a buyer's market? The latest data shows 4.62 months of inventory across the community based on 47 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current active listings at the current sales pace.
ALEX Intelligence classifies market conditions by comparing active inventory to monthly closing rates. A reading near or above 5 months typically indicates a balanced market, while figures below 4 suggest a seller's advantage. At 4.62 months, Bar W Ranch sits in a transitional zone where buyers gain more leverage than they held six months ago, though the market has not fully tipped into a buyer-dominated environment.
Closed sales volume increased to 47 homes compared to 40 in the prior six-month period, while median prices rose 4.7% to $409,078. Days on market also extended by 15.6% to 37 days, giving buyers more time to evaluate options. The share of homes selling below original list price dropped to 66%, down from 82.5% previously, suggesting that while inventory is higher, pricing discipline remains firm among sellers.
With 37 active listings and a steady flow of new construction, the supply side is expanding faster than demand in this specific community segment. Buyers entering the market now may find more negotiating room on price and terms compared to the tighter conditions seen earlier in the year.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=47
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










