Sonterra Median Price Drops 3.4% in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

125 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $225,000 125 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7792678 Listed at $201,199, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,607 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188901890/125-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $253,000 413 John Wayne TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #9400255 Listed at $236,699, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,202 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191544429/413-John-Wayne-TRL-Jarrell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $253,000 to $282,000 185 Katie Elder DR, Jarrell TX 76588 · MLS #4196525 Listed at $260,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,837 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175237204/185-Katie-Elder-DR-Jarrell-TX Upper quartile: $282,000 and up 136 Eagles Dare LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #5689560 Listed at $299,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,399 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186147130/136-Eagles-Dare-LN-Jarrell-TX

Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

The median sale price for single-family homes in Sonterra dropped to $250,000 over the last six months, down 3.4% from the prior period and 0.9% lower than the same window a year ago. This decline occurred alongside a rise in sales volume, with 124 closed transactions compared to 112 previously and 150 during the same period last year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the market dynamics using a rolling six-month window to smooth out monthly volatility. The data shows that while homes are selling at a slightly lower price point, the time on market has remained steady at a median of 83 days, which is 25.8% longer than the same period last year when it was 66 days. Price per square foot also decreased by 10.1% compared to last year, settling at $137.44. Despite the lower prices, buyers are negotiating effectively; 80.6% of homes sold below their original list price, a figure that has improved slightly from 85.7% in the prior period but remains higher than the 88% seen last year. The market continues to be driven by new construction, which accounted for 55 of the 124 closed sales in this window. With 121 active listings currently on the market, the area maintains a balanced inventory level suitable for both buyers and sellers seeking value in the current rate environment. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=124
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov