Sonterra Market Recap: Prices Dip as Sales Slow in October

Deal of the Week

105 Quartz DR, Jarrell TX 76537
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $225,000 105 Quartz DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3345692 Listed at $199,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,743 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186053691/105-Quartz-DR-Jarrell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000 509 Callisto CT, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #4139905 Listed at $225,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,402 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182793571/509-Callisto-CT-Jarrell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $286,000 213 Ammonite LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7254672 Listed at $284,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,361 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516749/213-Ammonite-LN-Jarrell-TX Upper quartile: $286,000 and up 105 Quiet Man DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #2321400 Listed at $290,400, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,358 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186491932/105-Quiet-Man-DR-Jarrell-TX

Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Median home prices in Sonterra dropped to $250,000 in the six months ending October 2026, down 7.4% from the prior six-month period and 5.7% below the same window last year. This marks a shift as 117 homes sold across the community, with new construction accounting for 59 of those closings. The market is showing signs of cooling compared to recent history. Median days on market rose to 73 days, up 35.2% from a year ago, while the share of homes selling below original list price climbed to 87.2%. Buyers are negotiating more aggressively, with the median close-to-original list ratio settling at 92.7%. Inventory levels remain steady with 103 active listings and a months-of-supply gauge at 5.28, indicating a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. New construction continues to drive volume, representing over half of all sales in this period. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the rolling six-month data to highlight these trends. While prices have softened, the community remains active with consistent transaction volumes. The median price per square foot also declined 14% year-over-year to $141, reflecting broader adjustments in the local market. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=117
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov